THE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE, USA
An Online Journal of Political Commentary & Analysis
Volume XIII, Issue # 178, July 19, 2011
Dr. Almon Leroy Way, Jr., Editor
Government Committed to & Acting in Accord with Conservative Principles
Ensures a Nation's Strength, Progress, & Prosperity
THE NEXT CLIMATE BOMBSHELL
By Dennis T. Avery
COSMIC RAYS & GLOBAL COOLING: RECENT SCIENTIFIC DISCOVERIES -- A BIG DENT IN THE THEORY OF MAN-MADE
GLOBAL WARMING EXPOUNDED BY ENVIRONMENTALISTS -- MORE COSMIC RAYS, MORE CLOUDS IN THE EARTH'S
ATMOSPHERE, & A COOLER PLANET -- THE SOLAR SOURCE OF THE EARTH'S LONG, MODERATE 1,500-YEAR CLIMATE CYCLE
FINALLY TO BE EXPLAINED -- THE FINAL NAIL IN THE COFFIN OF THE UNDOCUMENTED THEORY THAT IS THREATENING TO
QUADRUPLE SOCIETY'S ENERGY COSTS
FULL STORY:
Get ready for the next big bombshell in the man-made global warming debate. The world’s most sophisticated particle study
laboratory — CERN [1] in Geneva, Switzerland — will soon announce that more cosmic rays do, indeed, create more clouds
in the earth’s atmosphere. More cosmic rays mean a cooler planet. Thus, the solar source of the earth’s long, moderate
1,500-year climate cycle will finally be explained.
Cosmic rays and solar winds are interesting phenomena — but they are vastly more relevant when an undocumented
theory is threatening to quadruple society’s energy costs. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) wants
$10 per gallon gasoline and “soaring” electric bills to reduce the earth’s temperatures by an amount too tiny to measure
with most thermometers.
In 2007, when Fred Singer and I published Unstoppable Global Warming Every 1,500 Years, we weren’t terribly
concerned with cosmic rays. We knew the natural, moderate warming/cooling cycle was real, from the evidence in ice
cores, seabed sediments, fossil pollen, and cave stalagmites. The cycle was the big factor that belied the man-made
global warming hysteria of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.
When Willi Dansgaard and Hans Oeschger discovered the 1,500 year cycle in the Greenland ice cores in 1984, they knew
immediately that it was solar-powered. They had seen exactly the same cycle in the carbon 14 molecules in trees, and in
the beryllium 10 molecules in ice cores. Both sets of molecules are formed when cosmic rays strike our atmosphere. The
cycle had produced a whole series of dramatic, abrupt Medieval-Warming-to-Little-Ice-Age climate changes.
The IPCC, for its part, announced that the sun could not be the forcing factor in any major climate change because the
solar irradiation was too small. IPCC did not, however, add up the other solar variations that could amplify the solar
irradiation. Nor had the IPCC programmed its famed computer models with the knowledge of the Medieval Warming
(950–1200 AD), the Roman Warming (200 BC–600 AD), or the big Holocene Warmings centered on 6,000 and 8,000 BC.
The IPCC apparently wanted to dismiss the sun as a climate factor — to leave room for a CO2 factor that has only a 22
percent correlation with our past thermometer record. Correlation is not causation — but the lack of CO2 correlation is
deadly to the IPCC theory.
Henrik Svensmark of the Danish Space Research Institute added the next chapter in the climate cycle story, just before
our book was published. His cloud chamber experiment showed natural cosmic rays quickly created vast numbers of tiny
“cloud seeds” when our mix of atmospheric gases was bombarded with ultra-violet light. Since clouds often cover 30
percent of the earth’s surface, a moderate change in cloud cover clearly could explain the warming/cooling cycle.
Svensmark noted the gigantic “solar wind” that expands when the sun is active — and thus blocks many of the cosmic
rays that would otherwise hit the earth’s atmosphere. When the sun weakens, the solar wind shrinks. Recently, the U.S.
Solar Observatory reported a very long period of “quiet sun” and predicted 30 years of cooling.
Last year, Denmark’s University of Aarhus did another experiment with a particle accelerator that fully confirmed the
Svensmark hypothesis: cosmic rays help to make more clouds and thus could cool the earth.
The CERN experiment is supposed to be the big test of the Svensmark theory. It’s a tipoff, then, that CERN’s boss,
Rolf-Dieter Heuer, has just told the German magazine Die Welt that he has forbidden his researchers to “interpret”
the forthcoming test results. In other words, the CERN report will be a stark “just the facts” listing of the findings. Those
findings must support Svensmark, or Heuer would never have issued such a stifling order on a major experiment.
Stay tuned.
NOTE:
[1] CERN -- Conceil Europeen pour la Recherche Nucleaire, or European Organization for Nuclear Research. Situated in
the northwest suburbs of Geneva, Switzerland, CERN is one of the world's largest and most respected centers for
scientific research. Its purpose is to operate the world's largest particle physics laboratory.
LINKS TO RELATED TOPICS:
The Earth's Natural History, Global Climate Changes,
& the Future of Human Life & Civilization on the Planet:
Science, Ideology, & Public Policy
Political Environmentalism Versus Human Progress & Prosperity:
Policy Issues Relating to Energy, Environment,
& Natural Resources
Dennis T. Avery, a senior fellow for the Hudson Institute in Washington, D.C., is an environmental economist. He was
formerly a senior analyst for the U.S. Department of State. He is co-author, with S. Fred Singer, of Unstoppable Global
Warming Every 1500 Hundred Years. Readers may write to him at P.O. Box 202, Churchville, Virginia, 2442; send him
email at cgfi@hughes.net; or blog on www.cgfi.org website.
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THE PROGRESSIVE CONSERVATIVE, USA
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Dr. Almon Leroy Way, Jr., Editor
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Conservative Government Ensures a Nation's Strength, Progress, & Prosperity